Interactive The 26-year term of office of Chancellor Angela Merkel will end on September 2021 with the federal election in 16. Who is following her Which coalition could get the majority in the Bundestag? You can find the results of the current polls and other voting data here.
On September 26, 2021, Germany will elect a new Bundestag - and indirectly also a new Chancellor. There are currently several weekly polls on the outcome of this most important political election in the country.
Here we show all the surveys since the last federal election in 2017. We also focus on the latest survey results, calculate the resulting composition of the Bundestag and see how strongly the survey results for the 2021 election differ from the results of the election In 2017. The source for all surveys is the page Wahlrecht.de.
Current survey results for the 2021 federal election
The most recent poll was carried out on July 12, 2021 by the polling company But released. The result of the survey shows that the CDU and CSU union would be the strongest force in parliament with 28 percent. The other parties follow behind. The Greens came to 17 percent in the survey, the SPD gave 17 percent of the participants their vote. The FDP would come to twelve and a half percent, the AfD to eleven percent and the left to seven percent. Other parties would receive seven and a half percent of the vote. The survey was carried out between 09.07. and the 12.07. carried out, a total of 2087 people took part in the representative survey.
In a previous survey by the institute But, published on July 10th, the CDU and CSU got 28 percent of the vote. The Greens came to 17 percent, the SPD to 17 percent. The proportion of FDP voters among the 1.352 respondents was twelve percent, the AfD came to eleven percent, the left to eight percent. Other parties received seven percent of the vote.
How reliable are polls for the 2021 federal election?
Surveys on the 2021 federal election all deal with the question of which party people would vote for. It is not a question of whether this would be done with the first or the second vote. With the first vote, a direct candidate from the respective constituency is elected, who then directly represents this constituency in the Bundestag. The party is elected with the second vote. It decides how high the proportion of seats the parties have over the five percent hurdle in the Bundestag.
The opinion research institutes themselves repeatedly emphasize that the actual election result can only be predicted to a limited extent. The infratest dimap institute clarifies: "Not only do more and more voters commit themselves at short notice before an election, the importance of the last phase of the election campaign with the targeted addressing of undecided and tactical voters by the parties has also increased."
Federal election 2021: who will be the new Federal Chancellor? Who will be the new Federal Chancellor?
After 16 years as Chancellor of Angela Merkel, the CDU will run for Chancellor with Armin Laschet in September. The still-incumbent NRW Prime Minister prevailed in an internal Union power struggle against CSU boss Markus Söder. The SPD already nominated the current Finance Minister Olaf Scholz as its candidate for chancellor in August 2020. The only woman with prospects for the most important political office in Germany is Annalena Baerbock from the Greens. She was nominated in mid-April as the first candidate for chancellor in the history of the party. Meanwhile, the left are sending the duo Janine Wissler and Dietmar Bartsch into the race as top candidates. AfD relies on Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel, the FDP relies on Christian Lindner as its top candidate in the election campaign.
Whoever wins the upcoming election, he or she will be the ninth person in the history of the Federal Republic to assume the office of Chancellor. The CDU has occupied the office five times and the SPD three times. In the last federal election on September 24, 2017, the CDU achieved the best result of all parties with 26,9 percent. The SPD came to 20,5 percent at that time. Together, both parties formed a "grand coalition" and elected Angela Merkel as Chancellor for a fourth term. The strongest opposition party was the AfD with 12,6 percent, the FDP with 10,8 percent, the Left 9,2 percent and the Greens received 8,9 percent. The voter turnout in 2017 was 76,2 percent.